2 April coronavirus report #2

Central Park emergency hospital

2 April PANDEMICIA CORONAVIRUS REPORT  #2


USA rocketed past 200k, in excess of Spain+Italy. What they are saying - more than 100,000 deaths - implies in excess of 2 million cases.

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/united-states-leads-coronavirus-cases-not-pandemic-response

Another big milestone in cases coming up - World will pass 1 million cases today. How big is it going to go? 20 mil, 50 mil? And that's just the ones we are counting.
Just to show that you really have to take care before you get too complacent - Denmark was yesterday talking about lifting restrictions after Easter:
“Over the past week the number of hospital admissions has risen slightly slower than the week before and without the explosion in the numbers that we have seen in other countries.” 
THEN yesterday - their biggest spike! 400 cases.
They seemed fine after lockdown, down to 40 cases a day - but numbers have been steadily rising ever since, which has been ominous.
You have to look at the pattern of moves, not just the size. Whats more, with small numbers like this, new clusters can suddenly appear. It's like bubbles coming out of the mud.



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