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Is the Delta variant too infectious to stop?

August 06, 2021

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Technical Report. To be completed over the next week.

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LAST POST Pandemicia report #71

The Next Pandemic Pandemicia coronavirus report #71 We have not made a post in four months. The eponymous Johns Hopkins world dashboard discontinued on 10 March 2023 after three years, encouraging us at Pandemicia to do the same. The Our World in Data and various government websites continue to show ongoing results. We at Pandemicia and many of our friends in their 70s have managed to avoid the virus so far by obeying directives and doing what the government and statistics spent years teaching us - avoid crowded situations where people can breathe on you, wear masks if you have to approach someone, maintain distance from critical workers who have to visit a lot of people, stay away from groups of young people etc. Other people of working age we know who because of their life situation have not been able to maintain social distancing, have had the disease up to four times. Global report Confirmed cases of Covid-19 globally are rising at about 10 million a month and totalling 675

Pandemicia coronavirus report #66

Pandemicia coronavirus report #66 Epidemic Global report Globally, close to 6 million people have died since the onset of the pandemic. Global deaths have remained between about 50,000 and 100,000 per week since November 2020, with peaks in Jan 2021, May 2021, and the present outbreak. The death rate has actually been worse since the introduction of vaccines. This is because reductions in mortality following vaccination caused countries and individuals to drop their vigilance, allowing greatly increased numbers of cases - reaching 23 million per week at the end of January. The Omicron outbreak peaked out about six weeks ago in southern Africa, a month ago in US, Canada, France, Spain, India, Australia, Philippines and most of Latin America, and about two weeks ago in most of Europe and North Africa, except Netherlands, Germany, Denmark, Ukraine and Russia where it is peaking now. In most of Asia Omicron cases are still rising. Deaths are still high everywhere. Cases in the USA have

Pandemicia coronavirus report #70

Waiting for PCR tests, China Pandemicia coronavirus report #70 We are keeping these reports down to two-monthly as news has mostly evaporated, even though cases and deaths from Covid, in Australia at least, are at much higher levels than during the panic phase of 2020-21. Epidemic Global report Confirmed cases of Covid-19 globally are 645 million, and deaths 6.6 million. Apart from the major outbreaks in January and July this year, when countries relaxed surveillance, global confirmed cases have been running fairly steadily since the end of 2020, though deaths have fallen from 100,000 a week down to 9,000 a week from May. Japan has a substantial third major outbreak, with 2.5 million cases in the last month, 10% of its all-time total. South Korea has 1.5 million cases in the month. Although both have more official cases than stalwarts USA, France, Italy and Germany , all of whom have in the vicinity of a million cases a month, deaths are considerably lower, The Western countries

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Is the Delta variant too infectious to stop?

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