24 May Pandemicia coronavirus report #24
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| Truckers wait to be tested for weeks at Namanga on Kenya-Tanzania border |
Epidemic
Cases are still pouring in - they have gone above 100,000 a day. The focus has moved to Latin America as Brazil hits second place with 20,000 cases a day, almost as many as the USA. Chile and Mexico are really starting to move now, and so is India. Global number will ultimately depend on what happens in South Asia.
Across the south and midwest of the USA the epidemic still rages.The reopening of the south is igniting new activity. Montgomery Alabama has run out of ICU beds.
Apparently the disease does not spread very easily by touch, although hand-washing is still a good idea.
A big superspreading incident occurred in a church in Frankfurt Germany, with 107 parishioners infected.
COVID-19 and influenza attack the lungs in different ways. CV attacks the lining of blood vessels with many tiny clots, and lungs respond by trying to grow tiny new blood pathways.
The disease takes a somewhat different form in young people. While it is rare, the heart and multiple organ failure scenario is more common in COVID-19 infections. The disease kills young people at a far higher rate in the developing world.
Across the south and midwest of the USA the epidemic still rages.The reopening of the south is igniting new activity. Montgomery Alabama has run out of ICU beds.
Apparently the disease does not spread very easily by touch, although hand-washing is still a good idea.
A big superspreading incident occurred in a church in Frankfurt Germany, with 107 parishioners infected.
COVID-19 and influenza attack the lungs in different ways. CV attacks the lining of blood vessels with many tiny clots, and lungs respond by trying to grow tiny new blood pathways.
The disease takes a somewhat different form in young people. While it is rare, the heart and multiple organ failure scenario is more common in COVID-19 infections. The disease kills young people at a far higher rate in the developing world.
Response
The real reason for lockdown seems to be to acclimatise the population to social distancing. The rule is 'if the time seems right, then it is too late.' A study from Columbia University confirms that the timing of lockdown is more critical than the form. If social distancing was in place a week earlier, 36,000 deaths could have been prevented (of the current 96,000). Similar work was done in China back in February.
The socioeconomic/racial aspect of the epidemic in the USA is very obvious. Poor and black neighbourhoods are more heavily impacted, but they have found it harder to get testing centres.
Food relief contracts in the USA to move farm surplus have inexplicably been let to inexperienced companies. Contracts went to a San Antonio event planner, an avocado mail-order company, a health-and-wellness airport kiosk company and a trade finance corporation.
A worker in Georgia USA faked coronavirus to get out of work, forcing his boss to close down a workplace at heavy cost and several of his co-workers to quarantine.
Road fatalities have increased again as speeders and drag racers have infested US streets. "We have had half the traffic and twice as many fatalities".
In NSW schools will open tomorrow, and beauty salons and nail bars midweek. In Victoria from 1 June, stays in hotels and 20 people in your home are permitted.
French churches will open for mass from tomorrow.
This piece describes what happened in the early days of the epidemic when travel restrictions were hastily implemented. We have described something similar in Italy.
After closure of New Delhi to rickshaw drivers, a 15 year old bicycled 750 miles home over 10 days with her disabled father.
Truck drivers are being held up for weeks at the border of Kenya and Tanzania in Africa, waiting to be tested. This could be the 'new normal'.
In San Luis Potosi in central Mexico, a manufacturing centre, there is a sense that things are spiralling out of control There is no stay-at-home order and the population generally disbelieves. Conspiracy theories involve planes spraying the city at night and hospitals draining the fluid from your knees.
The socioeconomic/racial aspect of the epidemic in the USA is very obvious. Poor and black neighbourhoods are more heavily impacted, but they have found it harder to get testing centres.
Food relief contracts in the USA to move farm surplus have inexplicably been let to inexperienced companies. Contracts went to a San Antonio event planner, an avocado mail-order company, a health-and-wellness airport kiosk company and a trade finance corporation.
A worker in Georgia USA faked coronavirus to get out of work, forcing his boss to close down a workplace at heavy cost and several of his co-workers to quarantine.
Road fatalities have increased again as speeders and drag racers have infested US streets. "We have had half the traffic and twice as many fatalities".
In NSW schools will open tomorrow, and beauty salons and nail bars midweek. In Victoria from 1 June, stays in hotels and 20 people in your home are permitted.
French churches will open for mass from tomorrow.
This piece describes what happened in the early days of the epidemic when travel restrictions were hastily implemented. We have described something similar in Italy.
After closure of New Delhi to rickshaw drivers, a 15 year old bicycled 750 miles home over 10 days with her disabled father.
Truck drivers are being held up for weeks at the border of Kenya and Tanzania in Africa, waiting to be tested. This could be the 'new normal'.
In San Luis Potosi in central Mexico, a manufacturing centre, there is a sense that things are spiralling out of control There is no stay-at-home order and the population generally disbelieves. Conspiracy theories involve planes spraying the city at night and hospitals draining the fluid from your knees.
Economy
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| Cats Quezon City |
Toilet paper still remains elusive in the USA with so many customers using it at home rather than in the workplace. Commercial low-grade toilet paper is sitting unused.
With regular Amazon services overextended, third party sellers are taking over and dissatisfaction from customers is much higher than usual.
This piece is a good example of the sorts of things that happens when a firm does the right thing, shuts, disinfects and tries to re-open. It is in the USA but we have similar examples everywhere.
About 1.6 million Americans are delinquent on their mortgages, the largest spike recorded.
Watch Brands in USA
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Wrist watch for Girls
Watch winders in USA